PaddocksEdge

    Today's Racing

    Thursday, 25 June 2026 · 5 fixtures

    Track record

    Performance

    Live record from 16 May 2026 onwards (launch date). Each pick settled at the better of our captured 10:30 price or SP, by its recommended bet type — Win Only or Each-Way (v2.1 staking rule). Strike rate based on top-3 finishes.

    How settlement works

    Each pick is settled at the better of the 10:30 UK captured price or the Starting Price, staked as the bet type the model recommends. This reflects Best Odds Guaranteed (BOG), which most UK bookmakers offer on win singles taken from early morning through to the off. Win Only at stake S: outlay £S, returns S × (price − 1) if it wins, otherwise −£S. Each-Way at stake S: outlay £2S (£S win + £S place); the win half pays S × (price − 1) if it wins, the place half pays S × (price − 1) × place fraction if it finishes in the official places, each half loses £S otherwise.

    Place positions (UK rules):

    • 5–7 runners: 2 places at 1/4 odds
    • 8+ non-handicap and 8–11 handicap: 3 places at 1/5 odds
    • 12–15 runner handicap: 3 places at 1/4 odds
    • 16+ runner handicap: 4 places at 1/4 odds

    Because outlay differs by bet type, the headline figures are Net P&L and ROI (comparable across bet types). Total outlay is shown as supporting detail. Real-world returns depend on your bookmaker actually offering BOG and you taking the morning price.

    Stake per pick

    Returns scale with stake; the £19.99/month subscription is a fixed cost — it has the biggest impact at low stakes.

    Net P&L

    +£96.47

    At £1 per pick (per-pick bet type)

    ROI

    43.1%

    Net P&L ÷ total outlay

    Total outlay

    £224.00

    Win Only = £1, Each-Way = £2 per pick

    Strike rate (top 3)

    64.4%

    85 top 3 of 132 settled · 150 tips

    58 placed inside official EW terms · 16 non-runners and voids excluded · 2 pending today's results. Stakes returned on non-runners.

    Cumulative P&L

    £1 stake · 39 race days

    Chart begins at £0 the day before launch (16 May 2026).

    Conviction ladder

    How each tier performs across the full window.

    Tier Picks Settled Top 3 Strike rate P&L (£1) ROI
    Strong Pick 126 113 76 67.3% +£107.76 56.7%
    Best Pick 24 19 9 47.4% −£11.29 -33.2%

    Best Pick selections (probability ≥ 0.80) average roughly 1 per race day. Small sample - view alongside the broader track record.

    Recent picks

    Showing latest 10 of 150

    Mysterious Times

    10:45 · 25 Jun · Newmarket · Class 4

    Released at 10:30 UK · 1.91

    Strong PickWin Only
    Pending

    Velvet Vega

    10:30 · 25 Jun · Nottingham · Class 3

    Released at 10:30 UK · 1.65

    Best PickWin Only
    Pending

    Oro Blanco

    18:10 · 24 Jun · Naas

    Released at 10:30 UK · 3.95

    Strong PickWin Only
    SP 1.73 Won

    Sudbury Hill

    18:10 · 23 Jun · Newton Abbot · Class 4

    Released at 10:30 UK · 1.58

    Strong PickWin Only
    SP 1.83 Won

    Celestial Mist

    17:17 · 23 Jun · Newbury · Class 4

    Released at 10:30 UK · 21.56

    Strong PickEach-Way
    SP 19.00 Lost

    Mao Shang Wong

    16:17 · 23 Jun · Beverley · Class 4

    Released at 10:30 UK · 5.48

    Strong PickEach-Way
    SP 5.50 2nd

    Dolly Dior

    14:43 · 21 Jun · Hexham · Class 4

    Released at 10:30 UK · 38.65

    Strong PickEach-Way
    SP 51.00 Won

    Kodi Fire

    13:56 · 21 Jun · Brighton · Class 5

    Released at 10:30 UK · 16.05

    Strong PickEach-Way
    SP 11.00 4th

    Khepri

    18:20 · 20 Jun · Doncaster · Class 3

    Released at 10:30 UK · 4.28

    Strong PickWin Only
    SP 10.00 4th

    French Master

    18:10 · 20 Jun · Ascot · Class 2

    Released at 10:30 UK · 6.48

    Strong PickEach-Way
    SP 10.00 2nd

    Per-day breakdown

    Tap a column to sort.

    Thu 25 Jun 2026 2 0 0
    Wed 24 Jun 2026 1 1 1 100.0% +£2.95
    Tue 23 Jun 2026 3 3 2 66.7% −£1.04
    Sun 21 Jun 2026 2 2 1 50.0% +£58.00
    Sat 20 Jun 2026 4 4 3 75.0% +£1.03
    Fri 19 Jun 2026 3 3 2 66.7% +£3.75
    Thu 18 Jun 2026 2 2 1 50.0% −£0.12
    Wed 17 Jun 2026 1 1 0 0.0% −£2.00
    Mon 15 Jun 2026 1 0 0
    Sun 14 Jun 2026 2 2 1 50.0% −£2.13
    Sat 13 Jun 2026 5 5 2 40.0% +£1.64
    Fri 12 Jun 2026 4 2 0 0.0% −£4.00
    Thu 11 Jun 2026 4 4 4 100.0% +£22.21
    Wed 10 Jun 2026 2 2 2 100.0% +£0.74
    Tue 9 Jun 2026 1 1 0 0.0% −£2.00
    Mon 8 Jun 2026 2 2 2 100.0% +£0.62
    Sun 7 Jun 2026 7 5 2 40.0% −£8.00
    Sat 6 Jun 2026 5 5 3 60.0% +£16.75
    Fri 5 Jun 2026 5 5 1 20.0% −£5.57
    Thu 4 Jun 2026 3 3 3 100.0% +£0.55
    Wed 3 Jun 2026 2 1 1 100.0% +£0.21
    Tue 2 Jun 2026 3 3 2 66.7% −£2.62
    Mon 1 Jun 2026 3 3 1 33.3% −£3.08
    Sun 31 May 2026 2 1 0 0.0% −£2.00
    Sat 30 May 2026 7 6 3 50.0% −£4.59
    Fri 29 May 2026 5 5 3 60.0% +£11.50
    Thu 28 May 2026 5 5 3 60.0% −£1.55
    Wed 27 May 2026 5 5 5 100.0% +£0.45
    Tue 26 May 2026 8 5 5 100.0% −£4.35
    Mon 25 May 2026 5 5 4 80.0% +£8.02
    Sun 24 May 2026 3 2 0 0.0% −£4.00
    Sat 23 May 2026 5 5 3 60.0% −£4.50
    Fri 22 May 2026 6 6 4 66.7% −£5.80
    Thu 21 May 2026 6 4 3 75.0% +£1.96
    Wed 20 May 2026 5 5 5 100.0% +£1.01
    Tue 19 May 2026 7 6 5 83.3% +£3.99
    Mon 18 May 2026 3 3 3 100.0% −£6.00
    Sun 17 May 2026 3 2 2 100.0% +£7.20
    Sat 16 May 2026 8 8 3 37.5% +£17.24

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